Secondaries

Private Equity Secondaries in China — PEI Magazine Whitepaper

Leave a Comment / December 5, 2014

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Private equity dealflow continues to stall in China – but so far it hasn’t yet prompted the hoped-for explosion in secondary market activity

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Secondaries specialists have been busy in Asia lately. While firms such as LGT Capital Partners and Paul Capital have been doing secondaries deals from Hong Kong since 2007, in the last 18 months other firms such as Greenpark Capital, AlpInvest Partners and Lexington Partners have all been enhancing their Asia presence.

So far, secondary market activity in Asia has been more of a gradual flow than a wave of deals. But the changing macroeconomic conditions are increasing pressure on GPs – and that could result in more opportunities, particularly in China. Asia’s largest and most attractive market is losing some of its shine, thanks to a sustained slowdown in annual GDP growth and a frozen IPO market that has left GPs holding assets that they need to exit.

“If you could do [secondaries] at this moment – wow,” says Peter Fuhrman, chairman and chief executive of China First Capital. “In this market, some LPs could sell out for 10 cents on the dollar. For LP secondary buyers, it is nirvana: a distressed exit market, portfolios with solid growing businesses inside of them, and a group of somewhat distressed LPs. A lot of these LPs, even bigger ones who have their money in China, have lost faith.”

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Secondaries offer solution for US capital locked in China — AltAssets

Leave a Comment / May 24, 2013

The future of private equity and venture capital in China is threatened by a huge overhang of illiquid investments. US institutional investors and pension funds are at risk in a market that until recently was a source of significant investment profits. Private equity secondaries offer a potential way out, according to China First Capital.

China’s private equity industry, having grown in less than a decade from nothing into a giant rivaling the private equity industry in the US, is in the early stages of a unique crisis that could undermine the remarkable gains of recent years, according to a newly-published research report by China First Capital, an international investment bank. Over $100bn in private equity and venture capital investments is now blocked inside deals with no easy exit. A significant percentage of that capital is from limited partners, family offices, university endowments in the USA.

Private equity firms in China are running out of time and options. Exit through trade sale or M&A, a common practice elsewhere, is almost nonexistent in China. One viable solution, the creation of an efficient and liquid market in private equity secondaries in China where private equity firms could sell out to one another, has yet to develop. As a result, private equity general partners, their limited partner investors and investee companies in China risk serious adverse outcomes.

Secondary deals will likely go from current low levels to gain a meaningful share of all private equity exits in China, China First Capital said.

In all, over $130bn is now invested in un-exited private equity deals in China. The un-exited private equity and venture capital deals are screened and analysed across multiple variables, including date, investment size, tier of private equity firm, industry, price-earnings ratio.

Secondary deals potentially offer some of the best risk-adjusted investment opportunities, as well as the most certain and efficient way for private equity and venture capital firms to exit investments and return money to their limited partners, the report finds. The most acute need for exit will be investments made before 2008, since private equity firms generally need to return money to their limited partners within five to seven years. But, more recent private equity and venture deals will also need to be assessed based on current market conditions.

Over the course of the last twelve months, first the US stock market, then Hong Kong’s, and finally China’s own domestic bourse all slammed the door shut on IPOs for most Chinese companies. As a result, private equity firms can’t find buyers for illiquid shares, and so can’t return money to their Limited Partners.

“Many private equity firms are adopting what looks to be an unhedged strategy across a portfolio of invested deals waiting for capital markets conditions to improve,” according to China First Capital’s chairman and founder, Peter Fuhrman. “The need for diversification is no less paramount for exits than entries,” he continues. “Many of the same private equity firms that wisely spread their LPs money across a range of industries, stages and deal sizes, have become over-reliant now on a single path to exit: an IPO in Hong Kong or China. By itself, such dependence on a single exit path is risky. In the current environment, with most IPO activity at a halt, it looks even more so. ”

Secondary activity in China will differ significantly from secondaries done in the US and Europe, he added. Buyers will cherry-pick good deals, rather than buying entire portfolios, and escape much of the due diligence risk that plagues primary private equity deals in China. Sellers, in many cases, will be able to achieve a significant rate of return in a secondary sale and so return strong profits to their limited partners. Private equity-invested companies stand to benefit as well, since a secondary transaction can be linked to a new round of financing to provide additional growth capital to the business. In short, secondary deals in China should be three-sided transactions where all sides come out ahead.

But, significant obstacles remain. The private equity and venture capital industry in China has grown large, but has not yet fully matured. The industry is fragmented, with several hundred older dollar funds, and several thousand Renminbi firms launched more recently, some fully private and some state-owned with most falling somewhere in between.

Absent a significant and sustained surge in IPO activity in 2013, the pressure on private equity firms to exit through secondaries will intensify. According to the report, no private equity firm is now raising money for a fund dedicated to buying secondaries in China. There is a market need. As a fund strategy, private equity secondaries offer Limited Partners greater diversification across asset types and maturities in China.

Private equity has been a powerful force for good in China, the report concludes. Entrepreneurs, consumers, investors have all benefited enormously. Profit opportunities for private equity firms and Limited Partner investors remain large. Exit opportunities are the weak link. A well-functioning secondary market is an urgent and fundamental requirement for the future health and success of China’s private equity industry.

Copyright © 2013 AltAssets

 

Private Equity Slows in China as Investors Can’t Find the Exit — Institutional Investor

Leave a Comment / December 5, 2014

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12 FEB 2013 – ALLEN T. CHENG

China’s once-booming private equity industry is facing a logjam as a dearth of exit possibilities is slowing the flow of new deals in the sector, analysts and industry executives say.

The volume of private equity activity slowed dramatically last year, with some $17 billion invested in more than 700 companies, down from more than $30 billion invested in more than 1,700 companies in 2011, according to China First Capital, a Shenzhen-based investment advisory firm. Virtually all deals in China are minority equity investments in fast-growing private companies rather than buyouts of public companies as in the West. The industry was virtually nonexistent in China at the start of the 2000s but grew rapidly as Western investors rushed to participate in the country’s economic boom.

“You had an industry that grew very quickly but is not yet fully matured,” says Peter Fuhrman, chairman and CEO of China First Capital. “The PE firms raised huge money from LPs around the world and now face the challenge of not being able to exit their investments before the life cycle of their funds run out,” Fuhrman says. More…

 

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Private Equity In China – Time For A New Exit?

Leave a Comment / January 10, 2013

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Article from Wall Street Journal January 8, 2013

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China was once one of the few bright spots globally for private equity. Now it’s a quagmire – and investors are going to have to change the way they approach the market.

That’s the finding of a new report by Shenzhen-based private equity advisory China First Capital (pdf). According to the company’s own research, there have been about 9,000 private equity deals completed in China over the past decade, but in more than 7,500 of those instances – or $130 billion worth of investment – investors still haven’t managed to cash out.

“Over the last 18 months, first the U.S. capital markets, then Hong Kong’s and finally China’s Shanghai and Shenzhen domestic stock markets have dramatically lowered the number of IPOs of Chinese companies,” writes Peter Fuhrman, China First Capital chairman, in the report. “It seems more likely than not that the golden age of Chinese IPOs, when over 350 companies were listing each year across public markets in the U.S., Hong Kong and China, is now over.”

It’s not a turn of events that will be easily remedied. A wave of fraud allegations leveled by auditors and short sellers against a number of small Chinese companies listed in the U.S. has destroyed investor confidence in the sector and all but frozen new IPOs. Listings in Hong Kong dropped off in 2012 owing to that market’s poor performance, but even if it recovers many private-equity-invested companies are too small to clear the Hong Kong bourse’s listing requirements. And in mainland China, the regulator has all but stopped new listings in Shanghai and Shenzhen for fear that new offerings would divert liquidity and drive lower two of the world’s most underperforming markets.

Analysts tip China’s domestic IPO market to come back to life this year. PricewaterhouseCoopers expects a combined 200 IPOs raising between 130 billion yuan ($20.7 billion) and 150 billion yuan on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges in 2013, it said in a report. But that’s not going to clear the private equity backlog.

About 100 companies have already been cleared by the China Securities Regulatory Commission to list their shares, but are waiting for the market to improve. A further 800 companies have already filed IPO applications and are waiting for regulator’s nod. And according to Mr. Fuhrman, an additional 600 or 700 companies could be ready to apply as soon as the regulator signals it’s fully ready to take new applications. With many funds needing to return cash to their investors in the not-so-distant future, waiting for an IPO slot to open up is looking like the financial equivalent of a Hail Mary.

Traditionally, IPOs have been the preferred way for private equity investors in China to get their money out of companies they invested in. That’s in part because during the golden years of 2006 and 2007, sky-high IPO prices would result in a killing for investors that got in early. But it’s also because finding another company willing to buy the company you’ve invested in – a popular exit for private equity investors in developed markets – is seldom an option in China. Private equity investors usually take only a minority stake in Chinese companies, often because the entrepreneur who founded the firm is unwilling to relinquish control.

“To achieve [a] trade sale exit, the [investor] would need to persuade the majority owner, usually the person running the company, to sell out,” said the report. “Even in cases where that is possible, there is not an active market for corporate control in China. Few deals have been successfully concluded where a private entrepreneur, alongside a PE minority investor, has sold the business.”

The answer to this investment exit quandary might be secondary deals, whereby one private equity fund sells its stake in a company to another private equity fund, or in some cases sells its entire stable of companies to another fund. So far there have been very few such deals in China, but Mr. Fuhrman thinks they could be the way of the future.

“Despite the current lack of significant deal-making activity in this area, secondaries will likely go from current low levels to gain a meaningful share of all PE exits in China,” says the report.

Secondary deals are usually unpopular among investors that give their money to private equity funds. Large investors who have allocated money to a number of private equity shops see them as a waste of their money, particularly if one fund they’ve invested in sells to another fund they’ve invested in – all the more so if it’s at a higher price.

Secondary deals overseas often involve distressed assets – the kind a private equity fund is willing to sell at a loss just to be rid of them. But the deals Mr. Fuhrman foresees coming to the table in China would be of much higher quality, with funds forced to sell because they’re due to return cash to investors rather than because of any underlying problem with the investment.

The current quagmire is a problem that’s been building for some time, and private equity funds have so far proven reluctant to embrace secondary deals as an exit. But with the chances of getting an IPO done looking less like a bottleneck and more like the eye of a needle, major changes might be forced upon funds and the way they do business.

– Dinny McMahon

 

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